There was a bit of a break of the rising channel up that represents minute [ii]. Other than that it looks good as its at the 62% retrace of minute [i]. VIX daily looks beautiful with a touch of the lower BB. Looks like a good point to rebound from.
Ok...now we have a problem. The BPSPX:CPC has now crossed its 20MA from the bottom. This has typically been an early indicator to get out of your short position. I have drawn green lines where this has happened in the past. Its not that we are going into a bull market...but rather sentiment based on a combination of the bullish percent index and the putcall ratio is now moving up strongly.
At this point we just have to watch the market closely. On strictly EW terms I expect the market to fall like a rock at some point next week. There might be some upside room but there is currently strong resistance right above the current price levels. If BPSPX:CPC moves up strongly again tomorrow, I would say its time to scale back on the shorts.
Say it isn't so...
There was a bit of a break of the rising channel up that represents minute [ii]. Other than that it looks good as its at the 62% retrace of minute [i]. VIX daily looks beautiful with a touch of the lower BB. Looks like a good point to rebound from.
Ok...now we have a problem. The BPSPX:CPC has now crossed its 20MA from the bottom. This has typically been an early indicator to get out of your short position. I have drawn green lines where this has happened in the past. Its not that we are going into a bull market...but rather sentiment based on a combination of the bullish percent index and the putcall ratio is now moving up strongly.
At this point we just have to watch the market closely. On strictly EW terms I expect the market to fall like a rock at some point next week. There might be some upside room but there is currently strong resistance right above the current price levels. If BPSPX:CPC moves up strongly again tomorrow, I would say its time to scale back on the shorts.
This is probably the only time we are going to see a market like this in our lifetime. So lets make the best of the opportunity. I am going to concentrate on mainly trading the S&P 500 index using Elliott Waves and other TA. I will mainly be using puts and calls on SPY, but at times will trade SDS and SSO also. Do your own due diligence of course. Do not take any of my commentary and technical analysis as recommendations to purchase stocks or options. I do not currently trade the E-minis.